IPO Fact Sheet & Financial Scan
Issue Details Issue Price : Rs 316 – Rs 330 No of Shares (FV Rs.10) : 1,84,96,640 Shares (includes offer for sale of 30,46,640 shares (16.5% of the total issue) Issue Size : Rs 5,845 million – Rs 6,104 million Issue opens-closes : 18th – 20th November 2009 Listing : BSE and NSE |
Post Listing Details
Pre-Issue Promoter Holding : 84.30 per cent Post Issue Promoter Holding : 63.60 per cent Post Issue Equity Capital : Rs 629.23 million Post Issue Equity Shares (nos) : 62.92 million shares Market Cap : Rs 19,884 million - Rs 20,765 million FY09 EPS (Actual Diluted) : Rs 9.33 P/E Ratio (FY09) : 32 -33 times |
Background
Cox and Kings (India) Ltd. (C&K) is a recognized holiday brand that caters to the overall travel needs by serving as a ‘One Stop Shop’ for all travel and travel related products. Its business can be broadly categorized into Leisure Travel, Corporate Travel, Forex and Visa Processing. Within Leisure Travel, the company has three sub-segments i.e. Inbound Travel representing destination management services and Outbound and Domestic Travel which include selling holiday packages for travel overseas and destinations across India respectively.
In India, the company has 255 points of presence covering 164 locations through a mix of branch sales offices, franchised sales shops, General Sales Agents (GSAs) and Preferred Sales Agents (PSAs).
The company also has strong international presence with operations in 19 countries which can be partly attributed to its aggressive inorganic growth strategy which can be expected to continue. Notably, in the last three years, the company has made three major acquisitions including that of UK-based ground handling firm ETN in 2006, followed by Australian company Tempo Travel in 2008 and U.S.-based travel firm East India in 2009.
Some of its other important ventures include, a joint venture with IRCTC under the name of “Royale Indian Rail Tours Limited” to operate a luxury train, Maharajas Express to be launched in January 2010. Its foray into visa processing services for diplomatic missions from six countries which have thus far been concentrated with a few players, also offer long-term growth potential.
Cox and Kings has entered the capital market to part fund its strategic acquisition initiatives (Rs 1,500 million), repay its loans (Rs 1,296 million) and fund its investment (Rs 1,225 million) in overseas subsidiaries besides upgradation of its existing operations and corporate office.
The IPO comprises a fresh issue of 15.45 million equity shares by the company and offer for sale of over 3.04 million equity shares by the selling shareholders namely, Lehman Brothers Opportunity, Deutsche Securities Mauritius and Merill Lynch Capital Market Espana. While Lehman Brothers and Deutsche Securities each hold 3.9 percent stake, Merrill Lynch has 3.2 percent stake in the company.
The issue constitutes 29.40 per cent of the fully diluted post-issue paid-up capital of the company.
Financial Scan
Financial Snapshot
| Particulars | Q1 FY 2010 | FY 2009 | FY 2008 | | Income Statement | | | | | Income | 1,158.80 | 2,935.60 | 1,883.10 | | Change Y-o-Y | | 56% | | | Net Profit | 405.80 | 628.10 | 426.10 | | Change Y-o-Y | | 47% | | | | | | | | Net Profit Margin | 35% | 21% | 23% | | | | | | | Balance Sheet Items | | | | | Assets | | | | | Goodwill on consolidation | 2,253.90 | 1,110.20 | 101.70 | | Sundry Debtors | 2,289.90 | 2,321.60 | 1,786.80 | | Cash and Bank | 1,124.50 | 633.80 | 560.60 | | Loans and Advances | 2,537.60 | 3,081.20 | 1,744.70 | | | | | | | Liabilities | | | | | Secured Loans | 2,991.90 | 2,363.50 | 502.40 | | Unsecured Loans | 1,329.20 | 1,178.00 | 794.00 | | Current Liabilities | 1,572.60 | 1,835.60 | 1,795.50 | | Provisions | 942.20 | 818.00 | 486.50 | | | | | | | Networth | 2,769.60 | 2,279.70 | 1,659.30 | | | | | | | Debtors to Sales | 1.98 | 0.79 | 0.95 | | Debtor Collection Period (in Months) | | 9.6 | 11.5 | | Provision to Debtors | 41% | 35% | 27% | | Debt to Equity | 1.6 | 1.6 | 0.8 |
In terms of segment wise revenues, Indian operations accounted for FY 2009 was 52 per cent. However, the share of the same has been steadily declining as international operations continue to grow with a focused approach and strategy to expand in the global markets. Notably, high share of Indian business helped the company to not only sustain but also increase its revenue along with an increase in its margins at a time when the global travel industry witnessed a declining trend.
The acquisitions made by the company over the years have not only led to an increase in the topline but also impacted the amount of debt on the books. As on June 2009, the company had a debt of over Rs 4,320 million and a Debt to Equity Ratio of over 1.6 times.
The resultant implication was a sharp increase in interest burden which shrank margins and overall profitability. This neccessiates a close monitoring of the company’s working capital cycle. Notably, the debt on the company’s books declined to Rs. 2,913 million as on September 30, 2009.
Furthermore, as part of the issue proceeds have been earmarked to extinguish debt, this may help boost margins going forward.
Provisioning to the extent of over one-third of the total debtors also enhances the risk of higher bad debts going forward. In case the debtor collection period stretches any further, it could spell serious problems for the company and its shareholders.
IPO Positives
Leveraging Strong Brand Equity : Being one of the oldest and better recognized holiday brands both, locally and internationally, it not only helps the company to attract customers but also helps it to retain talent. In the future, it can continue to leverage its brand equity to offer better products and expand its offerings alongside its reach. This will help C&K to diversify in the industry without having to spend excessively on branding and undertaking promotional exercises.
For instance, the company has recently forayed into visa processing services for diplomatic missions which have thus far been concentrated in the hands of a few players. It is also in the process of rolling out a pan-India luxury train under the brand ‘Maharajas’ Express’ through a joint venture with IRCTC. Such initiatives not only help the company to leverage its growth extensively but also help to increase its market share.
End to End Solution Provider - The One Stop Shop : It provides end-to-end travel solutions including land, air and cruise bookings, hotel bookings, in-transit arrangements, local sightseeing, visa, passport and medical insurance assistance and such other destination management services along with other value added services. The company’s presence across the entire value chain in the fast growing tourism industry offers it a huge opportunity. Moreover, C&K appears well placed to capitalize on the Government’s initiative to encourage tourism in the country.
Wide Network – Enhanced Geographical Presence & Reach : In India, C&K has 255 points of presence covering 164 locations. It also operates through a mix of branch sales offices and franchised sales shops (56) which enables larger access to customers. Further, it has an extensive network of 185 GSAs and PSAs covering many of the major towns and cities of India. With its global operations in 19 countries besides India being run through subsidiaries, branch offices and representative offices, the company has an extensive reach. The company is also a member of Radius Inc, a global travel company, which enhances it to reach more than 80 prominent countries across the globe with over 3,600 locations.
Early Online Initiatives & Synergies : Moreover, the online travel market in India still at a very nascent stage with tremendous growth potential. Having firmly set foot in the offline market, the company also offers online services through its existing website www.coxandkings.com. C&K thus seems well positioned to capture a new client base and also expand its reach without having to spend extensively on creating infrastructure. The synergies of operations with its subsidiaries and the economies of scale due to large scale operations enjoyed by the company is yet another positive.
IPO Concerns Legal and Civil proceedings : There are various legal and civil proceeding against the company. The amount involved is these matters (including its Associate companies – Tulip Group) aggregates to a sum greater than the net worth (Rs 2,280 million in FY 2009 and 2,770 million as on June 2009) of the company.
Cyclical & Vulnerable Industry : The travel and tourism industry is highly cyclical in nature and is intricately linked with the economic growth of the country. Further it is highly vulnerable to terror attacks, epidemics and crisis that could adversely impact the travel of both classes, leisure and business.
Exchange Rate Risk : The business model of the company demands that it maintain inventories of certain foreign currencies. To that extent, the company is faced with exchange rate risk. However being nominal, the overall impact may not be high. The Indian operations of company may not be exposed to such risk as the customers are charged as per the respective foreign currency in which it needs to pay its vendors. However in most countries (foreign) the regulations do not provide such flexibility which in turn enhances the risk for overseas outbound businesses.
Crucial Working Capital Management : As the company caters to different client sets including business travelers, leisure, bulk orders etc. the company either receives a part payment in advance or full payment before travel begins or 30-60 days after the date of travel (for bulk orders). However, most of its vendors demand advance payment at least to the extent of cost. All these factors thus make efficient management of working capital even more crucial. The working capital cycle of the company merits attention as the rise in aggregate debtors continues to exceed total sales over the years due to the business model (nature of operations) of the company.
Operates in a highly competitive and fragmented market. However, few organized operators also provide ample scope to increase its market share by expanding the operations of the organized sector. Further as compared to time share companies (likes of Mahindra Holidays and Resorts), tour operators appear relatively better placed due to a lower fixed asset base to maintain, even while being able to offer more destinations.
C&K Pricing Review & Verdict Though the business is not comparable with time share companies, it stands to benefit from the low start up costs, which in turn also leads to a very low entry barrier. This is also reflected in the highly fragmented industry and number of independent players offering similar products at very competitive rates.
However C&K’s strong brand equity, wide geographical reach and successful track record offer some conviction about the growth in earnings above the expected growth rate of the tourism sector. The inorganic expansion route which has widened the reach of the company has facilitated business synergies and business integration, which also infuses confidence. At the upper end of the price band, the Trailing Twelve Month P/E of the company stands at 14 times as compared to 27 times for Thomas Cook while the P/B ratio stands at 4 times as against 7.5 times. However its Market cap to Sales ratio of 7 times is higher than that of Thomas Cook which trades at a ratio of 4.5 times. An aggregation of the qualitatives and quantitatives suggests that the pricing offers leeway to interest investors with some appetite for risk. The long term prospects of the industry and this company too seem promising and if one is willing to factor in market risk, participation in this IPO can be considered.
theIPOguru’s Verdict :
INVESTOR TYPE
| Category | | Recommendation | | FLIPPERS | | Consider INVESTING | | INVESTORS | | Consider INVESTING |
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